FANG Yisheng; LIU Henian and LUO Kai
, 2006, 33(4): 1307-0.
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Based on the gas field development characteristics and the domestic and abroad practices, some development-related aspects, such as evaluation methods for gas field average productivity, the relationship between development rate and production plateau, and the development potential of gas area, are discussed in order to improve the scientificity and reliability of development evaluation, infrastructure construction and investment decision, and finally achieve the goal of high efficient development and long-term stable gas supply. Six worldwide-used formulae and their applicability are evaluated. The relationship of development rate and production plateau is analyzed using some cases of gas fields with long development histories in China, Turkmenistan, and Russia, showing that from the plateau viewpoint, the fractured gas fields in Sichuan are the best, while the gas fields in Turkmenistan the worst. The gas development potential is comprehensively analyzed based on the facts of depleted and major developing gas areas in Russia and of the gas area of relatively long history in Sichuan, China. When predicting the development potential, supply stability and duration of gas fields (areas), a comprehensive evaluation and forecast which takes into account scale, quality, the timing and sequences of production, the creditability and reliability of the unproved OGIP should be carried out so as to lower the risk of development decisions and improve the scientificity of the medium- and long-term development planning.